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Trend Research is back cycling ETH and USDC through Binance in size

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Trend Research is again moving size through Binance, pulling 27,000 $ETH off‑exchange while wiring in about $150m $USDC, signaling fresh positioning after its brutal $ETH unwind.

Summary
  • An address tied to Trend Research withdrew 27,000 $ETH from Binance, then sent roughly $150.47m in $USDC back to the exchange in recent hours.​
  • Earlier this year the same firm dumped over 700m worth of $ETH to Binance to repay Aave loans, realizing an estimated $700m‑plus loss on a looped long.
  • The new pattern of $ETH out and $USDC in suggests Trend Research is rotating into fresh $ETH strategies rather than simply de‑risking, making its flows a key $ETH liquidity signal.

Trend Research is back moving size through Binance, this time cycling Ethereum ($ETH) out and $USDC in, in a way that looks like renewed ammo for directional $ETH positioning rather than simple de‑risking.

Trend Research pulls $ETH, then pushes $USDC to Binance

On‑chain monitoring shows an address linked to Trend Research withdrawing 27,000 $ETH from Binance in recent hours, before later transferring approximately $150.47 million in $USDC back to the exchange. At current prices, the $ETH withdrawal represents tens of millions of dollars in value, while the subsequent $USDC inflow reloads the firm’s on‑exchange stablecoin balance. The sequence — assets out, stables in — fits a pattern seen before with Trend Research, where it actively rotates between $ETH spot, derivatives exposure, and loan repayment.

This latest move comes against the backdrop of Trend Research’s highly publicized $ETH strategy over the past months. The firm, associated with LD Capital, previously built a position of around 600,000–650,000 $ETH using large Aave loans, then repeatedly transferred six‑figure $ETH amounts to Binance to cut risk as prices moved against it, crystalizing hundreds of millions of dollars in realized losses.

Context: from forced selling to fresh firepower

Earlier this year on‑chain analysts tracked Trend Research sending 216,000 $ETH — roughly $411 million — to Binance in a single day, having sold a total of 404,600 $ETH at an average price of about $2,071 to avoid liquidation. In another episode, the firm was reported to have effectively “almost sold all of its $ETH,” depositing 772,865 $ETH back to Binance at around $2,326 after originally buying 792,532 $ETH near $3,267, locking in an estimated $747 million loss. Those flows were clearly defensive, aimed at repayment and survival of a heavily leveraged book.

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By contrast, the current pattern of withdrawing $ETH while sending a fresh nine‑figure $USDC tranche into Binance suggests Trend Research is again actively positioning rather than just unwinding. One plausible read is that $ETH is being moved to self‑custody or DeFi while $USDC sits on Binance as dry powder for new derivatives or spot entries, consistent with prior behavior where the firm borrowed stablecoins from Aave, sent them to Binance, and ran a large $ETH carry and directional strategy.

What it signals for $ETH traders

For market participants, Trend Research’s renewed activity matters because of sheer size. When a player that has moved hundreds of thousands of $ETH and billions of dollars through Binance starts rotating again in 20,000–30,000 $ETH clips and nine‑figure $USDC transfers, it can affect short‑term liquidity, funding, and sentiment around key levels.

Traders watching $ETH should monitor follow‑through: if on‑exchange $ETH balances fall while $USDC balances associated with Trend Research rise, that tilts toward accumulation or DeFi deployment; if the reverse happens and $ETH deposits spike with spot selling, it points back to forced de‑risking. Either way, Trend Research’s flows remain a live barometer of how an over‑levered institutional whale is trying to navigate this phase of the cycle, and ignoring them is a luxury only small accounts can afford.

Read more: One Matrixport‑linked whale holds $300m in $ETH and BTC longs, with $26m unrealized