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Ethereum shows improving short-term momentum and heavy liquidations, but broader downtrend and overhead resistance remain key hurdles.
Looking at the broader picture, Ethereum’s momentum remains uneven. While the asset has posted gains over the past week and over the last 14 days, it continues to face pressure on the monthly timeframe, where it remains down more than 32%.
The key focus now is whether Ethereum can hold above the $2,000 psychological level.
Ethereum Price Prediction
On the technical side, Ethereum remains in a broader downtrend. However, price has now moved above the Alligator’s teeth (red line) and lips (green line), signaling that short-term momentum is shifting in favor of buyers. This crossover suggests that the immediate bearish pressure has weakened and that ETH is attempting to transition from consolidation into a potential recovery phase.
However, the longer-term jaw (blue line) still sits above price near the $2,100 region, meaning the broader trend has not fully flipped bullish yet. A sustained move above the jaw would be required to confirm a stronger trend reversal.
Momentum is showing improvement. The Stochastic oscillator has pushed higher, with %K around 65 and %D near 68, signaling strengthening short-term momentum. While not yet in extreme overbought territory, the indicator suggests buyers are regaining traction after a prolonged decline.
If momentum continues to build as the price breaks above the descending moving average, it could reinforce a recovery attempt. Otherwise, failure to clear overhead resistance may keep Ethereum trapped in a consolidation phase within its broader corrective trend.
Ethereum Liquidation Data
Ethereum’s liquidation data shows elevated derivatives activity across multiple timeframes, with a noticeable imbalance between long and short positioning. Over the past hour, total liquidations reached $1.28 million, with long positions accounting for $994.72K compared to $283.04K in shorts.
On the 4-hour timeframe, liquidations totaled $4.92 million, with $2.88 million in longs and $2.04 million in shorts, suggesting two-sided volatility but still slightly heavier pressure on long positions.
Zooming out, the 12-hour data shows $16.06 million in total liquidations, with shorts ($9.68 million) exceeding longs ($6.38 million), signaling that earlier upward moves may have squeezed bearish traders. Over the full 24-hour period, total liquidations stand at $67.11 million, with long positions contributing $39.73 million and shorts $27.38 million.
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