Bitcoin Price Watch: Will BTC Close 2025 With a Bang or a Whimper?

With only weeks left in 2025, bitcoin is strutting into the year-end spotlight around $89,500 to $90,100 on Thursday morning, but it’s not exactly doing the moonwalk. Traders are watching closely to see whether it ends the year with fireworks or a fizzle—and whether 2026 will finally deliver that long-awaited breakout or more sideways samba.

Bitcoin Chart Outlook

The one-hour chart reveals a cryptocurrency stumbling to find its footing after a dramatic blow-off top at $94,652. Since then, price action has been more tired shuffle than bullish bounce, with a sharp fall to $89,400 followed by listless, sideways movement.

Lower highs and lower lows dominate, forming a textbook short-term bearish structure. Volume data confirms the apathy: heavy selling during the dip, and uninspiring buying since. A decisive push past $91,000 is required to shift sentiment, but as of now, bitcoin seems more interested in loitering than leading.

BTC/USD 1-hour chart via Bitstamp on Dec. 11, 2025.

Zooming out to the four-hour chart, the mood doesn’t get much cheerier. After printing a double-top near $94,000 earlier in December, bitcoin tumbled hard—marking the $94,652 resistance as no man’s land. The current support around $83,814 has held firm, but the recent bearish candles, paired with volume spikes on the down moves, hint at more distribution than accumulation. A reclaim of $92,000 would improve the outlook, but until then, the trend tilts bearish to neutral. The window for a Q4 rally is narrowing fast.

BTC/USD 4-hour chart via Bitstamp on Dec. 11, 2025.

The daily chart paints a broader tale of decline and hesitation. Bitcoin has been in a pronounced downtrend since its October high of $126,272. It bottomed at $80,537 before rebounding to $94,000—but failed to punch higher. Volume analysis suggests some accumulation in the $80,000–$85,000 range, which could form a launchpad. However, unless bitcoin can definitively break above the $94,000–$100,000 zone with volume confirmation, it’s likely to remain stuck in a range. Technically, the trend is transitioning from bearish to sideways, but make no mistake—this is no bull market yet.

BTC/USD 1-day chart via Bitstamp on Dec. 11, 2025.

Oscillators are singing a rather indifferent tune. The relative strength index (RSI) sits at 44, the Stochastic at 72, and the commodity channel index (CCI) at 26—all neutral. The average directional index (ADX) at 28 suggests a weak trend, while the Awesome oscillator dips slightly negative at −1,416. Momentum shows a glimmer of optimism at 3,804, and the moving average convergence divergence (MACD) level registers at −1,489—both technically supportive, but hardly conclusive. In short: the indicators are shrugging their shoulders.

Moving averages? They’re lining up like a bearish chorus line. From the 10-period to the 200-period spans, nearly every exponential moving average (EMA) and simple moving average (SMA) suggests downward pressure. The only exception is the 20-period simple moving average (SMA), which shows marginal bullishness at $89,933. But when the 200-period simple moving average (SMA) is hanging out at $108,844, it’s clear bitcoin has some serious climbing to do before any champagne bottles get popped.

As we tick closer to December 31, one question looms: Will bitcoin break above resistance and close the year in style, or will 2025 end with a whimper? For now, the charts say caution, not celebration. 2026 may hold the breakout everyone’s been waiting for—but as this year reminds us, hope without confirmation is just another candle waiting to be snuffed out.

Bull Verdict:

If bitcoin can hold above $88,000 and muster a decisive breakout past $94,652 with real volume, the groundwork for a late-year reversal is in place. Momentum indicators are beginning to lean constructive, and accumulation in the $80K–$85K range could form the base for a 2026 breakout. But until BTC clears resistance convincingly, any optimism remains speculative, not structural.

Bear Verdict:

Despite trading near $90K, bitcoin remains trapped below key resistance levels and deeply under its major moving averages. The failed rally to $94,000, combined with declining volume and a weak trend profile, keeps the outlook cautious. Without a strong close above $94,652, bitcoin risks ending 2025 with a muted thud, leaving bulls with nothing but New Year’s resolutions.

FAQ ❓

• Where is bitcoin trading now? Bitcoin is currently hovering around $90,051, showing weak short-term momentum.
• What’s the key resistance level to watch?The $94,652 level remains the major resistance capping further upside.
• Is bitcoin expected to rally before 2025 ends?A year-end rally is possible only if bitcoin breaks $94K with strong volume.
• What’s the support zone holding up the price?The $88K–$89K range is acting as the primary support heading into year-end.