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Avalanche – Why AVAX falls to $6.17 despite massive $1.5mln whale withdrawal

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Avalanche [$AVAX] attracted renewed attention after a whale withdrew 238,651 tokens worth roughly $1.5 million from Bybit, reducing exchange-held supply.

The transaction fueled speculation that large holders had started accumulating during a prolonged downtrend rather than preparing for further selling.

Such withdrawals often reflected a preference for moving assets into private wallets instead of keeping them readily available for trading.

While a single transfer did not confirm a broader market shift, the scale of the withdrawal stood out amid recent activity.

As a result, market participants closely monitored whether additional large withdrawals would emerge and strengthen the case for growing conviction among major $AVAX holders.

Are traders moving more $AVAX onto exchanges?

Recent spot flow data showed $7.77 million in inflows and $6.23 million in outflows, leaving $AVAX with a positive netflow of roughly $1.54 million.

Unlike sustained exchange withdrawals, positive netflows often suggested that more tokens had moved onto trading platforms than left them. However, this painted a different picture from the whale withdrawal observed earlier.

While one large holder removed $AVAX from Bybit, broader market participants transferred additional tokens to exchanges.

Such behavior often reflected rising trading activity or preparations for repositioning.

Although the inflow advantage remained relatively modest, it indicated that market participants had not fully shifted toward aggressive accumulation.

Instead, exchange activity suggested that traders continued evaluating opportunities on both sides of the market.

Source: CoinGlass

Why did Binance traders stay heavily bullish on $AVAX?

Despite $AVAX remaining under pressure, Binance’s top traders maintained a clear bullish bias.

Long accounts represented 66.42% of positions, while short accounts accounted for 33.58%, resulting in a Long/Short Ratio of 1.98. The data showed that experienced participants largely expected higher prices despite recent weakness.

This positioning reflected confidence that the market could stabilize after weeks of selling pressure. However, crowded long exposure also created a potential risk.

If $AVAX failed to recover, leveraged traders could face increased liquidation pressure. For now, trader positioning remained firmly tilted toward the upside.

Even so, price performance had not yet fully validated that optimism, leaving market participants focused on whether buyers could eventually regain control.

Source: CoinGlass

Can $AVAX defend key support?

$AVAX continued trading within a descending channel that had guided price action lower since May. The altcoin hovered around $6.17 while attempting to establish support above the key $5.90 region.

Previous rebounds emerged near this zone, making it an important level for the bulls to defend.

Higher on the chart, resistance remained visible around $7.00, with stronger resistance near $9.00.

Recent candles showed that sellers had lost some control after pushing $AVAX toward channel lows earlier in June.

The Relative Strength Index climbed to 32.11 after previously dipping into oversold territory, indicating that selling pressure had eased compared with earlier sessions.

Although the recovery signaled improving conditions, RSI remained below the neutral 50 level and continued reflecting a weak broader trend.

Meanwhile, the Parabolic SAR remained above price at 6.854, confirming that bearish control persisted across the higher timeframe structure.

Nevertheless, the broader structure still favored the downside because the price remained beneath channel resistance.

Source: TradingView

If buyers reclaimed channel resistance and strengthened momentum indicators, recovery prospects could improve.

Until then, the broader downtrend would likely remain the dominant market force.


Final Summary

  • A whale withdrew $1.5 million worth of $AVAX from Bybit, reducing exchange-held supply.
  • Avalanche bulls need to defend the $15.90 area and reclaim channel resistance to strengthen recovery prospects.