Top 3 Price Prediction: BTC rejection sparks pullback, ETH at risk of breakdown, XRP hints at deeper losses

fxstreet.com 1 h

Analytics

Bitcoin ($BTC), Ethereum ($ETH), and Ripple ($XRP) are showing signs of near-term weakness as key technical resistance comes into play. $BTC faced rejection at its 200-day EMA earlier this week and has slipped below the $80,000 mark on Friday. $ETH, on the other hand, is drifting toward a critical support level, where a breakdown could accelerate losses. $XRP also paints a cautious picture, with momentum indicators turning bearish and hinting at a potential deeper correction ahead.

Bitcoin loses strength below the key 200-day EMA

Bitcoin is trading below $79,500 on Friday after being rejected by the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $82,048. However, $BTC is holding a bullish near-term bias, as price sits above the 50-day and 100-day EMAs, clustered around $75,300–$76,300, and comfortably above the 50% retracement at $78,962.

The Crypto King is, however, approaching a nearby cap at the horizontal barrier of $80,000, while the 200-day EMA is at $82,048 and the 61.8% Fibonacci level is at $83,437, forming a broader resistance band above.

Momentum remains constructive, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) holding near 59 and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line still marginally positive, suggesting buyers retain control but with fading follow-through.

On the downside, initial support is now aligned at the reclaimed 50% retracement at $78,962, ahead of a dense demand zone where the 100-day EMA at $76,245 converges with the former channel top near $75,680, and the 50-day EMA at $75,322.72.

A break below this band would expose deeper retracements toward the 38.2% Fibonacci level at $74,487 and then the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement at $68,950, while sustained trade above $80,000 would open the way toward the 200-day EMA at $82,048 and the $84,410 resistance, with the cycle high near $97,924 remaining the broader bullish objective.

Ethereum clings to 50-day EMA support

Ethereum price is trading at $2,275 on Friday, holding just above the 50-day EMA at $2,264 but remains capped well below the 100-day EMA at $2,342 and the 200-day EMA at $2,565, leaving the near-term tone broadly neutral within a broader corrective structure.

The RSI on the daily chart sits around 48, pointing to lackluster momentum, while the MACD remains in negative territory, with a declining line and a weak histogram, suggesting that bullish attempts may struggle while $ETH trades below the higher daily averages and key Fibonacci retracements.

On the topside, initial resistance is seen at the 100-day EMA near $2,342, followed by the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the broader upswing at $2,380, with stronger barriers clustered higher at the 200-day EMA around $2,565 and the 50% retracement at $2,575; above these, the 61.8% level at $2,770 and the 78.6% retracement near $3,048 would come into focus.

On the downside, immediate support is provided by the 50-day EMA at $2,264, ahead of a structural band formed by the former channel top around $2,148 and the 23.6% retracement at $2,138, while a break of that region would expose the channel base and major swing low near $1,747.

$XRP momentum weakens, signaling downside risks

$XRP price is trading at $1.38 on Friday, keeping a bearish near-term tone as it holds beneath the 50-day EMA at $1.40 and the longer-term 100-day and 200-day EMAs at $1.49 and $1.72, respectively. Price action remains contained within a broader downward-sloping channel, while the RSI is near 47, and a slightly negative MACD both hint at subdued bullish momentum and limited upside follow-through for now.

On the topside, initial resistance emerges at the 50-day EMA around $1.40, with the upper boundary of the descending channel near $1.49 and the 100-day EMA at $1.49 forming a congested supply zone ahead of the 200-day EMA at $1.72; a more distant hurdle is seen at the horizontal resistance near $1.90.

On the downside, immediate support is aligned with the horizontal level at $1.30, while a deeper slide would expose the channel's lower boundary around $0.68 as the next major bearish objective.