XRP Price Prediction: XRP Faces Pressure as Retail Ownership Debate Intensifies

XRP price action has entered a cautious phase as traders reassess risk following weeks of volatility. On the 4-hour Bitstamp chart, XRP continues to reflect short-term weakness despite attempts to stabilize.

Recent trading shows XRP struggling to regain lost ground after a sharp sell-off. Price remains below key moving averages, signaling that sellers still control near-term direction. However, reduced leverage and steady consolidation suggest the market may be preparing for a clearer move.

XRP Price Structure Signals Caution

On the 4-hour timeframe, XRP trades below the 50, 100, and 200 exponential moving averages. All three averages slope downward, reinforcing a bearish short-term structure. Each recovery attempt stalls quickly, showing limited follow-through from buyers.

Significantly, XRP continues to respect a descending channel formed after the recent decline. This pattern reflects consolidation rather than reversal. As long as price stays below the $2.03 to $2.10 zone, rallies appear corrective. Consequently, traders treat upside moves with caution.

Support near $1.89 holds importance for short-term stability. A break below $1.87 could reopen downside pressure toward the $1.82 area. However, holding above current support may allow another test of overhead resistance.

Derivatives and Exchange Flows Add Context

XRP futures data provides additional insight into market behavior. Open interest expanded sharply during the November rally, confirming strong speculative participation. That phase ended with notable unwinding as price retreated.

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Currently, open interest has stabilized near $3.4 billion. This level suggests reduced leverage and lower liquidation risk. Hence, the market now appears healthier than during prior peaks. A renewed increase in open interest alongside rising prices would signal stronger conviction.

Spot exchange data tells a more cautious story. XRP has recorded extended net outflows, indicating consistent sell-side pressure. Brief inflow spikes occurred during rebounds, yet they faded quickly. Moreover, recent outflows near $11 million align with ongoing price weakness.

Ownership Trends Raise Retail Concerns

Beyond charts and flows, wallet distribution has sparked fresh debate. Data circulating online shows that most XRP wallets hold relatively small balances. More than six million wallets reportedly contain 500 XRP or less.

Additionally, a small number of large wallets control a sizable portion of supply. As XRP prices rise, accumulation becomes harder for smaller investors. Buying 1,000 XRP now costs significantly more than a year ago.

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Consequently, retail participants face higher entry barriers, while large holders absorb price changes with ease. This imbalance fuels concerns about accessibility as XRP matures.

Technical Outlook for XRP Price

Key levels remain clearly defined as XRP trades within a short-term corrective structure.

Upside levels include $1.95 as immediate resistance, followed by $2.03 and $2.10, where sellers previously regained control. A confirmed breakout above $2.10 could open room toward $2.18 and $2.25.

On the downside, $1.90 remains the first support, followed by $1.87 and the critical $1.82 zone. The major downside risk sits near $1.77.

The technical picture shows XRP consolidating inside a descending channel after a sharp sell-off. This setup often precedes volatility expansion.

Will XRP go up?

XRP price direction hinges on whether buyers can defend $1.89 and reclaim $2.03. Stronger inflows and rising open interest would support upside continuation.

However, failure to hold $1.87 could invalidate the rebound and expose lower levels. For now, XRP remains at a pivotal inflection zone.

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