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Hedera ($HBAR) has gained more than 14% this week, recovering from its recent slump. Yet, despite this short-term bounce, the $HBAR price remains down nearly 9% for the month, a clear downtrend.
The mixed signals across indicators are now raising a bigger question: Are whales hinting at a hidden crash that smart money and retail traders are ignoring?
Smart Money and Retail Stay Bullish Despite Warning Signs
The Smart Money Index (SMI), which tracks the moves of experienced $HBAR traders, has been climbing since October 26, making higher highs and moving above its signal line. This typically indicates that informed traders expect a rebound or believe the worst is behind them. Even after a brief pullback, the SMI remains near 1.08, maintaining a cautiously bullish short-term outlook.
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If the index stays above that mark, the bias remains positive. A drop below 1.08, however, could flip the sentiment quickly.
Retail traders also seem optimistic. Maybe a bit more than Smart Money. The Money Flow Index (MFI) — a measure of buying and selling pressure using both price and volume — has surged from near 35 to 69.4 over two weeks. This sharp rise signals fresh inflows and rising retail interest, a typical sign that smaller traders are buying dips in anticipation of a rebound.
$HBAR Retail Is Continuing To Move Money">
In short, smart money and retail still see potential upside in the $HBAR price. But that confidence might not have the legs, because whales are quietly exiting.
Whales Are Exiting While Smart Money Bets on a Rebound
While smaller $HBAR traders and institutional signals appear bullish, large wallet holders tell a different story. Data shows that 100 million+ $HBAR accounts have dropped from 41.75% of the total supply to 40.65% since October 21 — meaning roughly 1.1% of holdings among these whales have exited in less than two weeks.
That’s a minimum of 110 million $HBAR moving out of large wallets. At the current price, this represents at least $20.9 million in value that’s left whales’ hands. This is a notable shift during a period when smaller traders are turning bullish.
It’s a classic split: smart money and retail think the bottom is in, but whales seem to be preparing for another leg down. If whales are indeed front-running a correction, the charts should start showing early signs — and they already do.
$HBAR Price Chart Shows “Hidden” Bearish Divergence or The Crash Catalyst
On the daily chart, the $HBAR price has been trading inside a tight range between $0.219 and $0.154 since October 11, showing indecision between buyers and sellers. Possibly the traders and whales.
Between October 6 and October 29, the price made a lower high, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) — which tracks price momentum — made a higher high. This pattern is hidden bearish divergence. A setup that often signals the continuation of an existing downtrend. In $HBAR’s case, that could lead to a correction if key levels break.
Currently, the $HBAR price holds above $0.189, but losing that support could trigger a slide toward $0.168. If selling continues, the next major support lies near $0.154, and below that, the token could fall to $0.119.
$HBAR Price Analysis">
A move below $0.168 would confirm a bearish continuation. Holding above it might allow short-term consolidation. For now, the odds lean toward a deeper $HBAR price pullback. That could happen unless new buying volume comes in to offset the ongoing whale exits.
The post Hedera ($HBAR) Jumps 14%—So Why Are Whales Quietly Leaving? appeared first on BeInCrypto.
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