en.bitcoinsistemi.com
Cryptocurrency analysis company Alphractal has published a remarkable assessment that the altcoin season could begin in 2025.
The analysis claimed that despite the disappointing altcoin performances for many investors in the last market cycle, a new turning point may have been reached.
Alphractal analyzed the relationship between Bitcoin (BTC) price and the Altcoin Season Index on a weekly timeframe. This indicator measures the performance of altcoins against BTC over the past 3 months. According to the company’s assessment, two different scenarios could herald the altcoin season:
Weakness After Bitcoin Rise: When BTC shows the first signs of weakness after a long period of rise, investors turn to alternative cryptocurrencies and the altcoin season begins.
When Bitcoin is Declining or Bottoming: When BTC is at historical lows, some altcoins are gaining relative advantage by showing less decline.
One of the striking findings in the analysis is that the altcoin season has started in June every year since 2022. According to these data, June 2025 may also be a part of this cycle.
When the timeframe is reduced to the daily level, it is found that 23% of altcoins are outperforming BTC. The Altcoin Season Index is currently in the uncertainty zone, which suggests that the Bitcoin season may be over. According to the analytics firm, this signals that altcoins may exhibit stronger movements in the coming days.
Total Web3 investments in the first quarter of 2025 reached $3.8 billion, the highest level since mid-2022, while second-quarter investments fell to the lowest level since 2019. Alphractal notes that these investment trends can show strong correlations with altcoin seasons.
According to Alphractal’s analysis, the altcoin market is on the verge of a major transformation.
*This is not investment advice.